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Gegevens van 1 sep 2026, 18:30 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
December 31 11%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
12 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 1,8K
Lage liquiditeitReacties
6
7d wijziging
-0.1 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd31 jan 26, 0:211 jan 27, 4:59
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Ternuvate will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
Open markten
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt70%
- New People (NL)-1.0pt24%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 20,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 221,8K
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt24%
- October 31-2.0pt13%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-0.5pt15%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.3pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Totaal volume
- € 301,8K
- 24u volume
- € 44,6K
POLYMARKETWill Russia enter Hannivka by which date?
- December 31+16.9pt98%
- September 30+39.0pt97%
- August 31-5.0pt0%
POLYMARKETWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt39%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.1pt5%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Will Russia capture Sumy by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date??
- Polymarket prijst December 31 op 11% per 1 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.