PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 99%+1.1pt
Marktkwaliteit
70 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 284
Liquiditeit
€ 7,7K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
1.0% / 1.4%
Spread
0.4 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
-5.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
24 jul 26, 16:00 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by which date?
PolymarketTrump tries to serve a third term?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
KalshiTrump publicly insults Warsh by which date?
PolymarketKevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
KalshiWarsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Warsh must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g. “I am planning to fire Warsh”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
- If Kevin Warsh resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
- Attempts to remove Warsh from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
- The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Open markten
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.9%
- No change43.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 94,3K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.3pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 extra uitkomsten
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate46.9%
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt46%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt3.3%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 40,8K
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt53.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt42.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 61,3K
- 24u volume
- € 21,6K
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase65.4%
- No change29.8%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026??
- Polymarket prijst No op 99% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.