Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 80.8%
Voorspellers
427
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd31 mrt 25, 23:44 UTC21 jan 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Donald Trump either serve a third term or run for U.S. President in an election held after 2028?
Manifold MarketsTrump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
PolymarketTrump tries to fire Lisa Cook by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump run for a third term?
KalshiWill Trump participate in an election for a third term?
Manifold MarketsWill a bill or proposal be brought to a vote, that would allow President Trump to run for a third term?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump makes a formal attempt to serve a third term as President of the United States after having already served two terms.
- This includes but is the not limited to:
- Filing paperwork with the Federal Election Commission to run for a third term
- Pursuing legal challenges to the 22nd Amendment
- Attempting to assume the presidency through other means (such as becoming Vice President and then assuming the presidency)
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 615,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 730,5K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.1pt9.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 29,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 643,3K
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+37.0pt52.1%
- Nicolás Maduro-38.6pt46.9%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt16%
- Jon Ossoff16%
+48 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.2pt10%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 14,5 mln.
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.2pt93%
- Yes-1.2pt7%
- Totaal volume
- € 19,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 483,5K
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- What will Trump say this week?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Trump tries to serve a third term??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 81% per 19 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Trump tries to serve a third term? afgewikkeld?
- Trump tries to serve a third term? wordt naar verwachting op 21 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Trump tries to serve a third term? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution Criteria