KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before Election Day 20%-5.0ptKoploper van 3 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
48 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,1
Liquiditeit
€ 45,4K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
25 okt 25, 14:00 UTC7 nov 28, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will a bill or proposal be brought to a vote, that would allow President Trump to run for a third term?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?
Manifold MarketsRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegels
If Donald Trump has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency.
- Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement.
- The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed.
- Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify.
- Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 615,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 730,5K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.1pt9.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 29,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 643,3K
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+37.0pt52.1%
- Nicolás Maduro-38.6pt46.9%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt16%
- Jon Ossoff16%
+48 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.2pt10%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 14,5 mln.
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.2pt93%
- Yes-1.2pt7%
- Totaal volume
- € 19,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 483,5K
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Trump run for a third term??
- Kalshi prijst Before Election Day op 20% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Trump run for a third term? afgewikkeld?
- Will Trump run for a third term? wordt naar verwachting op 7 november 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Trump run for a third term? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Donald Trump has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.