PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
170-189 40.5%+30.0ptKoploper van 5 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
170-189 40.5%+30.0ptMarktkwaliteit
64 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,3K
Liquiditeit
€ 40,3K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
1 okt 26, 00:06 UTC12 okt 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Polymarket
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Minimumorder (aandelen):
- 5
- Prijsstap:
- 1 procentpunten
- Kosten:
- Nee
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date?
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PolymarketWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)
KalshiTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiRegels
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from October 5, 2026, through October 11, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.