Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)
4.0 ptn (24u)One-OffHandelsbeleidGeopolitiek5d
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Above 150 94%+4.0ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Above 150 94%+4.0ptMarktkwaliteit
60 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 7,5K
Open interest
€ 10,2K
Gemiddelde open interestSpread
4.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
25 sep 26, 16:30 UTC6 okt 26, 13:00 UTC
Trends
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 28?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
LimitlessRegels
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 175 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Regels per uitkomst
- Above 150
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 150 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 175
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 175 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 200
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 225
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 225 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 250
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 250 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.