PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
September 30 72.5%+2.5ptMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
69 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 22,6K
Liquiditeit
€ 30K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
32.0% / 33.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
11 sep 26, 23:26 UTC1 okt 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Massachusetts East-West rail be under construction before 2027?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiRegels
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
- Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
- Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
Open markten
Middle EastPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-3.5pt22%
- October 31-3.0pt17%
- September 30-3.5pt5%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 11,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 539,3K
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+3.5pt57%
- September 30+2.0pt42%
- September 21+5.0pt36%
+6 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 56,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 197,5K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.3pt66%
- October 31-0.5pt37%
- September 30+1.0pt22%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+4.5pt93%
- September 18+5.0pt91%
- September 4+7.0pt88%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30-0.7pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date??
- Polymarket prijst September 30 op 73% per 13 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 1 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.