US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
9.0 ptn (24u)GeopolitiekOne-OffMiddle East26d
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
September 30 72%+4.5ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
≤74 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 52,7K
Liquiditeit
€ 106K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
2.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
9
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
2 sep 26, 0:2430 sep 26, 23:59
Trends
Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred).
- The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day.
- This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is completed where the most recent qualifying military action occurred on or before the specified end date (ET).
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Iran.