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Gegevens van 1 sep 2026, 21:00 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
September 30 10%+2.0ptKoploper van 19 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
66 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 112,5K
Liquiditeit
€ 28,8K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
993
7d wijziging
+3.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd4 mei 26, 23:521 okt 26, 3:59
Trends
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Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace.
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace.
- Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify.
- Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
2 handelsplatforms prijzen deze markt momenteel. De liquiditeitsgewogen referentiekans van CoinRithm voor September 30 is 10%. De noteringen lopen ongeveer 40 procentpunten uiteen.
CoinRithm-referentie September 30 10% · 2 platforms · 40 pt spreiding tussen venues
- Ook beschikbaar op Limitless — Israel closes its airspace by...? · August 31 50%
Open markten
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 23,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 402,7K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.9pt61%
- October 31+2.0pt40%
- September 3020%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 55 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 283,1K
POLYMARKETAl Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club
- Hilal+5.5pt62.1%
- Draw (Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club)-1.5pt20.4%
- Ahli-4.0pt17.5%
POLYMARKETAl Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club - More Markets
- O/U 0.5+0.6pt97%
- Hilal Saudi Club O/U 0.5+3.5pt91%
- 2nd Half O/U 0.5+33.0pt86%
+30 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIAl Hilal vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Hilal+7.0pt63.7%
- Tie19.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-4.0pt16.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 201,3K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- Polymarket prijst September 30 op 10% per 1 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Israel closes its airspace by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Israel closes its airspace by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 1 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Israel closes its airspace by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Waar wordt Israel closes its airspace by which date? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Limitless.