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Gegevens van 1 sep 2026, 03:00 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
August 31 50%
Marktkwaliteit
30 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 minuten geleden
25 aug 26, 13:201 okt 26, 3:59
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Regels
the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace.
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace.
- Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify.
- Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
2 handelsplatforms prijzen deze markt momenteel. De liquiditeitsgewogen referentiekans van CoinRithm voor September 30 is 10%. De noteringen lopen ongeveer 40 procentpunten uiteen.
CoinRithm-referentie September 30 10% · 2 platforms · 40 pt spreiding tussen venues
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Israel closes its airspace by...? · September 30 10%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- Limitless prijst August 31 op 50% per 1 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Israel closes its airspace by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Israel closes its airspace by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 1 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Israel closes its airspace by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Limitless wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: the named outcome · the named outcome. <p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Waar wordt Israel closes its airspace by which date? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket.