PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansJa 28%+0.1%
Marktkwaliteit
89 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 127,8K
Liquiditeit
€ 125,1K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
27.0% / 28.0%
Spread
3.7%
Gematigde spread7d wijziging
+8.5%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 minuten geleden
2 jul 26, 21:4930 sep 26, 0:00
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Yes28%
Platforms vergelijken· No
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDeze paginaBeste algemeen | Hoog | 73% | — | € 127,8K | € 125,1K | 18 minuten geleden | |
 Manifold Markets85% overeenkomst · auto | — | 97% | — | — | — | eergisteren | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]
2mnd
96.6%
3.4%
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling16 voorspellersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and September 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Grote trades
$1.1k24.0%POLYMARKETYesTorn-Myth10 uur geleden
POLYMARKETYesTorn-Myth10 uur geleden$14.2k78.0%POLYMARKETNogrinder101123 uur geleden
POLYMARKETNogrinder101123 uur geleden$1.2k78.0%POLYMARKETNoback-in-whack3 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETNoback-in-whack3 dgn geleden$2.4k76.0%POLYMARKETNolineth5 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETNolineth5 dgn geleden$1.1k76.0%POLYMARKETNojustT10 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETNojustT10 dgn geleden$1.4k69.0%POLYMARKETNoAMike16 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETNoAMike16 dgn geleden$1.1k43.7%POLYMARKETNoGollumGekko22 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETNoGollumGekko22 dgn geledenVolumetrend
$145.4k3 jul24d aan data26 jul
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and September 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.