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Gegevens van 1 sep 2026, 21:00 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
September 30 100%+11.9pt
Marktkwaliteit
66 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 41,3K
Liquiditeit
€ 79,9K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
98.3% / 100.0%
Spread
1.7 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd31 aug 26, 18:3730 sep 26, 23:59
Trends
100%
Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets an Arab country through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Qualifying Arab countries are as follows: Algeria, Bahrain, Comoros, Djibouti, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Mauritania, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan, Syria, Tunisia, the United Arab Emirates, and Yemen.
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at a qualifying Arab country.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.