PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
December 31 21%-2.0pt
Marktkwaliteit
56 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 152,2
Liquiditeit
€ 31,1K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
2.3% / 5.9%
Spread
3.6 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden
11 sep 26, 20:17 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?
PolymarketWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
LimitlessHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to 0 for any date between market creation and the specified date, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF PortWatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to 0, or once complete data has been published for the specified period without such a publication.
- If complete data for the specified period has not been published within 28 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Open markten
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 4+6.4pt98%
- September 11+6.2pt98%
- September 18+4.5pt98%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 616,1K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.7pt49.6%
- October 31+11.0pt32%
- September 30+4.0pt13.6%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot-0.7pt54.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu30.6%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt9.2%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- September 30+9.5pt95%
- September 25+10.5pt93%
- September 18+21.5pt92%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30-0.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date??
- Polymarket prijst December 31 op 21% per 15 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date? afgewikkeld?
- 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to 0 for any date between market creation and the specified date, 2026.