PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
September 15 51.4%Marge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
29 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 368,6
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
11.0% / 99.0%
Spread
88.0 pt
Brede spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
8 sep 26, 18:49 UTC30 sep 26, 20:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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PolymarketWill Israel attack Iraq in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel attack Iraq in November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel attack Iraq in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Iraq through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Iraq.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Iran target Iraq by which date??
- Polymarket prijst September 15 op 51% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Iran target Iraq by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Will Iran target Iraq by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 30 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Iran target Iraq by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Iraq through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).