PolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdPer markt afgewikkeld door de provider
Afgewikkeld: 8 okt 2026, 00:31
Dit evenement heeft geen enkele winnaar. De provider heeft elke markt apart afgewikkeld; elke markt toont zijn eigen uitkomst.
Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 8 okt 2026, 00:21 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
September 150%
October 31100%
September 30100%
October 31Gewonnen
September 30Gewonnen
September 15Verloren
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Iran target Jordan by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Egypt by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target the United Arab Emirates by which date?
PolymarketWill Israel attack Iraq in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel attack Iraq in November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel attack Iraq in 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Iraq through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Iraq.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.