PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
October 31 74%+14.0pt
Marktkwaliteit
43 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,2K
Liquiditeit
€ 434,7
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
33.0% / 39.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
-24.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
9 sep 26, 21:23 UTC31 okt 26, 20:59 UTC
Trends
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Jordan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Amman time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Jordan.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+2.8pt97%
- September 25-0.5pt86%
- September 3078%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 947,5K
- 24u volume
- € 688,2K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt60%
- October 31+1.0pt34%
- September 30-2.0pt9%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 58,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 289,1K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+2.0pt21%
- October 31+4.0pt14%
- September 30+0.3pt3%
+9 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- No Meeting by September 30-0.8pt87.9%
- USA+1.3pt11.1%
- Pakistan-0.5pt1%
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- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Iran target Jordan by which date??
- Polymarket prijst October 31 op 74% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Iran target Jordan by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Will Iran target Jordan by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 31 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Iran target Jordan by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Jordan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Amman time.