Confirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
9.5 ptn (24u)Rusland / OekraïneOne-OffGezondheid en geneeskunde26d
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
31, 23%+9.5pt
31, 23%+9.5ptMarktkwaliteit
50 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 3,7K
Liquiditeit
€ 2,5K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
20.0% / 26.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
3 okt 26, 16:48 UTC1 nov 26, 03:59 UTC
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- Minimumorder (aandelen):
- 5
- Prijsstap:
- 1 procentpunten
- Kosten:
- Ja
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a confirmed case of pneumonic plague in a human is reported in the Russian Federation at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Moscow time, .
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "confirmed case" is a case explicitly identified by a qualifying source as laboratory-confirmed Yersinia pestis infection with pneumonic (pulmonary) involvement, or explicitly announced as a confirmed pneumonic plague case.
- Publication of the underlying laboratory results is not required.
- A bubonic or septicemic case that progresses to pneumonic plague qualifies.
- A case reported only as "plague" with no form specified, and a case described only as suspected or probable, do not qualify.