KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before December 1, 2026 40%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Before December 1, 2026 40%Marktkwaliteit
39 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 964,7
Open interest
€ 1K
Lage open interestSpread
8.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
5 okt 26, 06:00 UTC1 dec 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 500s (ter informatie)
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Confirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
PolymarketWill a case linked to the Irkutsk plague be reported outside Irkutsk Oblast by November 1?
Manifold MarketsWill the Irkutsk Anti-Plague institute incident turn into an outbreak?
Manifold MarketsHow many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
KalshiHow many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
KalshiCyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
KalshiRegels
If a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague in the United States is officially reported by a Source Agency after Issuance and before December 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The disease is human pneumonic plague specifically. Bubonic or septicemic plague without pneumonic involvement, unspecified plague, and animal cases do not qualify. A case must be confirmed in the United States; a U.S. citizen diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed and reported in the United States qualify and need not be linked to the Russian outbreak. The first initial official confirmation must occur after Issuance and before midnight ET at the start of December 1, 2026. Symptom onset or infection before the deadline is insufficient if confirmation occurs later.
Regels per uitkomst
- Before December 1, 2026
- If a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague in the United States is officially reported by a Source Agency after Issuance and before December 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The disease is human pneumonic plague specifically. Bubonic or septicemic plague without pneumonic involvement, unspecified plague, and animal cases do not qualify. A case must be confirmed in the United States; a U.S. citizen diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed and reported in the United States qualify and need not be linked to the Russian outbreak. The first initial official confirmation must occur after Issuance and before midnight ET at the start of December 1, 2026. Symptom onset or infection before the deadline is insufficient if confirmation occurs later.
- Before January 1, 2027
- If a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague in the United States is officially reported by a Source Agency after Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The disease is human pneumonic plague specifically. Bubonic or septicemic plague without pneumonic involvement, unspecified plague, and animal cases do not qualify. A case must be confirmed in the United States; a U.S. citizen diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed and reported in the United States qualify and need not be linked to the Russian outbreak. The first initial official confirmation must occur after Issuance and before midnight ET at the start of January 1, 2027. Symptom onset or infection before the deadline is insufficient if confirmation occurs later.
- Before November 1, 2026
- If a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague in the United States is officially reported by a Source Agency after Issuance and before November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The disease is human pneumonic plague specifically. Bubonic or septicemic plague without pneumonic involvement, unspecified plague, and animal cases do not qualify. A case must be confirmed in the United States; a U.S. citizen diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed and reported in the United States qualify and need not be linked to the Russian outbreak. The first initial official confirmation must occur after Issuance and before midnight ET at the start of November 1, 2026. Symptom onset or infection before the deadline is insufficient if confirmation occurs later.