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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Health & Medicine
  3. Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

11.0% (24u)Health & MedicineOne-Off6mnd
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 17%-11.0%
Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

28 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 5,1

Liquiditeit

€ 73,8

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

16.0% / 19.0%

Spread

18.8%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden

14 mei 26, 2:001 jan 27, 4:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Before Jan 1, 202717%

PolymarketOok beschikbaar op Polymarket

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

1.0%6mnd
Ja
Ja
-0.0%12%
Nee
Nee
+0.0%89%
52 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitBrede spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 493,2K
24u volume€ 238,8
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regels

If the FDA approves retatrutide (LY3437943) for marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An approval is defined as:
  • For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
  • The following constitute approvals that trigger the Payout Criterion:
  • Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit) Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints) Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS) Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs
  • The following do NOT constitute approvals:

Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.

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Regels

If the FDA approves retatrutide (LY3437943) for marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An approval is defined as:
  • For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
  • The following constitute approvals that trigger the Payout Criterion:
  • Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit) Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints) Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS) Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs
  • The following do NOT constitute approvals: