When, where or how will Trump die?
PolitiekOne-OffGezondheid en geneeskundeAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingAIGeopolitiek18j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 23:34 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
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Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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7d wijziging
0.0 pts
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Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd4 jan 25, 15:15 UTC1 jan 45, 22:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old.
- He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history.
- According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources.
- If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
- The market will resolve N/A if: