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When or where will Trump die?
9j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCAlerts
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Voorspellingscontext
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
2025 0%
Voorspellers
141
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
VerouderdLaatst bijgewerkt: 13 apr, 11:46
Beslist op
1 jan 2036, 22:59
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-
Gestart 4 jan 2025, 15:15Eindigt 1 jan 2036, 22:59
Trends
Uitkomst24uKans
Regels
Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old. He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history. According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources. If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
- The market will resolve N/A if:
- Trump's death cannot be verified by multiple reputable sources
- The exact date of death cannot be determined
- The death occurs under disputed circumstances where the date is unclear
Onderwerpen
PolitiekAIGeopolitiek
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