Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBefore 2037 82.8%Koploper van 12 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
72
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd30 aug 25, 01:51 UTC22 jan 36, 00:37 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Donald Trump Die before 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?
Manifold MarketsWhen, where or how will Trump die?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRegels
This is a cumulative probability market.
- Therefore, for example, if Trump dies in 2027, "the named outcome" and "the named outcome" resolve NO, and "the named outcome", "the named outcome", etc. will all resolve YES.
- Answers will resolve early when time runs out and Trump has not yet died.
- For example, "the named outcome" will resolve NO if Trump has not died and 2026 has begun.
- There may be a delay before resolution to confirm that Trump has not died.
