Zal Donald Trump overlijden of ernstig ziek worden voor het einde van zijn ambtstermijn?
PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 82%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
12 nov 24, 19:10 UTC19 jan 29, 21:59 UTC
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The market resolves “Yes” if Donald Trump either passes away or becomes so ill that he is officially unable to continue in his role, leading to someone else taking over his responsibilities.
- I won’t be betting on this market.
- Update 2025-08-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A temporary transfer of power will not resolve Yes.
- The intent is a permanent inability to serve—e.g., death or an official determination resulting in someone else taking over his responsibilities.
- Update 2025-09-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Health-motivated resignation by Trump will resolve to Yes; no 25th Amendment invocation is required.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Zal Donald Trump overlijden of ernstig ziek worden voor het einde van zijn ambtstermijn??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 82% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Zal Donald Trump overlijden of ernstig ziek worden voor het einde van zijn ambtstermijn? afgewikkeld?
- Zal Donald Trump overlijden of ernstig ziek worden voor het einde van zijn ambtstermijn? wordt naar verwachting op 19 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Zal Donald Trump overlijden of ernstig ziek worden voor het einde van zijn ambtstermijn? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The market resolves “Yes” if Donald Trump either passes away or becomes so ill that he is officially unable to continue in his role, leading to someone else taking over his responsibilities.