Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJoe Biden 53.9%
Voorspellers
24
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd18 jun 24, 13:00 UTC19 jan 29, 22:59 UTC
Trends
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FutuurRegels
Both Biden and Trump get criticized for being quite old.
- This, among other problems, brings an increased risk for death from natural causes.
- The male life expectancy in the USA is 73.5 years, an age they both passed already.
- What is the chance they pass away from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
- This market resolves per person to YES once they die of natural causes, NO if they die from non natural causes, and NO if they are alive on the end of the next presidential term (20th of January 2029), whichever comes first.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term??
- Manifold Markets prijst Joe Biden op 54% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term? afgewikkeld?
- Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term? wordt naar verwachting op 19 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Both Biden and Trump get criticized for being quite old.