Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age.
PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 82.9%
Voorspellers
50
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 19 uur geleden
Verouderd7 nov 24, 01:55 UTC20 jan 29, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNJ-07 House winner?
KalshiRegels
Only resolves true if natural causes/old age prior to 1/20/2029.
- Outside intentional influence resolves as false.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 691,8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,1 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,6 mln.
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age.?
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 83% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age. afgewikkeld?
- Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age. wordt naar verwachting op 20 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age. afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Only resolves true if natural causes/old age prior to 1/20/2029.