Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?
PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 79.5%
Voorspellers
25
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd18 mrt 24, 13:45 UTC2 jan 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Joe Biden survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age.
Manifold MarketsWho will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWill Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessRegels
If Biden Wins Presidency:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/StopPunting/will-donald-trump-survive-through-t-4336685a1df9)Will Biden Survive:
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 691,8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,1 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,6 mln.
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 80% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election? afgewikkeld?
- Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Biden Wins Presidency: