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  3. Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

5.0% (24u)Health & MedicineOne-Off6mnd
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 32%-5.0%
Marktkwaliteit

28 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 12

Liquiditeit

€ 712,5

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

30.0% / 33.0%

Spread

10.0%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden

17 jul 25, 14:001 jan 27, 4:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes32%

Regels

If the FDA approves any psychedelic substance for medical use for marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Psychedelic drugs include: LSD, Psilocybin, DMT, Mescaline, MDMA, MDA, PCP, DXM, Ibogaine, Salvia divinorum, 2C family, and Ayahuasca.
  • Important information: For purposes of this Contract:
  • The listed substances are illustrative, not exhaustive.
  • Approval of any other substance commonly recognized in scientific or FDA documentation as a psychedelic, hallucinogen, or entactogen (for example, psilocin, 5-MeO-DMT, methylone, or 2C-, DOx-, or NBOMe-family compounds) may also satisfy the Payout Criterion.
  • "Approval for medical use" means an FDA approval letter for an NDA or BLA authorizing marketing of a drug or biologic for human medical use in the United States, where a listed (or otherwise qualifying) psychedelic substance is an active pharmaceutical ingredient of the approved product.

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Regels

If the FDA approves any psychedelic substance for medical use for marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Psychedelic drugs include: LSD, Psilocybin, DMT, Mescaline, MDMA, MDA, PCP, DXM, Ibogaine, Salvia divinorum, 2C family, and Ayahuasca.
  • Important information: For purposes of this Contract:
  • The listed substances are illustrative, not exhaustive.
  • Approval of any other substance commonly recognized in scientific or FDA documentation as a psychedelic, hallucinogen, or entactogen (for example, psilocin, 5-MeO-DMT, methylone, or 2C-, DOx-, or NBOMe-family compounds) may also satisfy the Payout Criterion.
  • "Approval for medical use" means an FDA approval letter for an NDA or BLA authorizing marketing of a drug or biologic for human medical use in the United States, where a listed (or otherwise qualifying) psychedelic substance is an active pharmaceutical ingredient of the approved product.