Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?

Health & MedicineOne-Off5mnd

KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerd

Huidige impliciete kans

Before Jan 1, 2031 56%

Koploper van 6 uitkomsten

Marktkwaliteit

37 / 100

Lage kwaliteit

24u volume

€ 0

Liquiditeit

€ 1,3K

Lage liquiditeit

Bied / Laat

10.0% / 16.0%

Spread

6.0 pt

Brede spread

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 23 minuten geleden

14 mei 26, 2:001 jan 27, 4:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

Before Jan 1, 202710%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

If the FDA approves midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD for marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

An approval is defined as:
For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
The following constitute approvals that trigger the Payout Criterion:
Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit) Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints) Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS) Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs
The following do NOT constitute approvals:

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2 jul10d aan data27 jul

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Regels

If the FDA approves midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD for marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

An approval is defined as:
For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
The following constitute approvals that trigger the Payout Criterion:
Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit) Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints) Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS) Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs
The following do NOT constitute approvals:

Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?

Health & MedicineOne-Off5mnd

KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerd

Huidige impliciete kans

Before Jan 1, 2031 56%

Koploper van 6 uitkomsten

Marktkwaliteit

37 / 100

Lage kwaliteit

24u volume

€ 0

Liquiditeit

€ 1,3K

Lage liquiditeit

Bied / Laat

10.0% / 16.0%

Spread

6.0 pt

Brede spread

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 23 minuten geleden

14 mei 26, 2:001 jan 27, 4:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

Before Jan 1, 202710%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

If the FDA approves midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD for marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

An approval is defined as:
For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
The following constitute approvals that trigger the Payout Criterion:
Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit) Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints) Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS) Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs
The following do NOT constitute approvals:

Volumetrend

2 jul10d aan data27 jul

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€ 47

Before Oct 1, 2026: 37%

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€ 92,7K

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# of views of MrBeast video day 3?

€ 7,5K

26-27M: 88%

POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

€ 5,1K

Ja: 9%

POLYMARKET

Measles cases in 2026?

Pandemic in 2026?

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$63,441.49-2.66%

EthereumETH$1,883.33-4.20%

SolanaSOL$73.27-4.03%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0702-3.37%

XRPXRP$1.06-4.65%

BNBBNB$565.14-1.68%

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Regels

If the FDA approves midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD for marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

An approval is defined as:
For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
The following constitute approvals that trigger the Payout Criterion:
Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit) Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints) Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS) Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs
The following do NOT constitute approvals: