Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 87.6%
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151
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd29 jan 23, 03:36 UTC1 feb 38, 08:00 UTC
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KalshiRegels
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_2038_problem
- If at least 1 million people in the US experience some noticeable and significant disruption as a direct result of Y2k38, this resolves YES.
- The impact must be caused by the bug itself, not people preparing for or freaking out about the possibility.
- As an exception: If there's some highly disruptive last-minute "preparation" like "we're shutting down this entire system on December 30th because we didn't prepare it in time", I'll count that as having been caused by the bug.
- Bugs that occur more than a few days before or after January 19th do still count.
- The bug doesn't have to take place in the US, just the impact.
Open markten
Russia / Ukraine
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- United Russia (ER)+1.5pt75.8%
- New People (NL)-2.0pt20.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 267,7K
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Totaal volume
- € 529K
- 24u volume
- € 55,4K
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- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December+1.0pt8%
- September 30,+0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhere will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- No meeting before 2027+1.5pt93.1%
- Switzerland-0.3pt2%
- Turkey-0.4pt1%
+11 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- China+1.0pt54.5%
- No meeting by December 3134.6%
- Gulf country+2.1pt3%
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- No+2.5pt69.3%
- Yes-2.5pt30.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 369,4K
- 24u volume
- € 34,2K
- Bank of Russia decision in September?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Y2K38 cause a significant impact in the United States??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 88% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Y2K38 cause a significant impact in the United States? afgewikkeld?
- Will Y2K38 cause a significant impact in the United States? wordt naar verwachting op 1 februari 2038 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Y2K38 cause a significant impact in the United States? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_2038_problem