Will AI have a significant impact on a national (general) election in an OECD country by 01-01-2028?
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Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 82.3%
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Bijgewerkt 16 minuten geleden
19 aug 23, 22:41 UTC1 jan 28, 22:59 UTC
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Will AI have a significant impact on a national (general) election in an OECD country by 01-01-2028?
- Direct impacts:
- YES if noticeable change in voter behavior, voter perception and decision-making can be attributed to AI-driven factors.
- For example, if AI-generated content on social media leads to a substantial shift in voter preferences or turnout, this will be considered a significant impact.
- YES if AI played a decisive role in changing the outcome of the election.
- If AI-related factors, such as targeted advertising or deepfake videos, were determined to have directly influenced the election's result, this would be seen as a significant impact.
