Will any OECD country effectively introduce a form of UBI before 2033?
One-OffRegelgevingMacro en economie6jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 68.8%
Voorspellers
49
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd3 mei 23, 05:59 UTC31 dec 32, 15:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will AI have a significant impact on a national (general) election in an OECD country by 01-01-2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the EU introduce any form of direct taxation during the 2024-2029 legislative period?
Manifold MarketsWill regulation effectively kill decentralized cryptocurrency by the end of 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Gini index measured by the OECD go above 0.43 before the end of 2028, potentially due to AI developments ?
Manifold MarketsCarried Interest Repeal by End of 2026
Manifold MarketsWhich wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?
KalshiRegels
Definition of UBI from Wikipedia:
- Universal basic income (UBI) is a social welfare proposal in which all citizens of a given population regularly receive a guaranteed income in the form of an unconditional transfer payment (i.e., without a means test or need to work).
- It would be received independently of any other income.
- List of OECD countries: https://www.oecd.org/about/members-and-partners
- To be resolved to YES it has to be a universal (all citizen) and not a standard unemployement subsidy branded as UBI.
