KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before Jan 20, 2029 76%-2.0ptKoploper van 3 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
73 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 5,3K
Liquiditeit
€ 256,8K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
2.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
11 jun 25, 14:00 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWeed rescheduled by which date?
PolymarketWill a U.S. state legalize marijuana in 2026
Manifold MarketsWhat’s the next state to legalize recreational marijuana? 🍁
Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiRegels
If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:SemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCthe United States CongressThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPolitico
- If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule) without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract.
- Ending the schedule altogether would resolve the market to Yes.
- Clarification (12/12/25): The Payout Criterion requires that marijuana is legally removed from Schedule I. The mere announcement or publication of a Final Rule in the Federal Register does not satisfy the Payout Criterion if the rule has not taken legal effect.
- The market resolves based on the actual status of the Schedules under the Controlled Substances Act.
- If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 180,5K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T19.2%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 105,1K
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+21.0pt84%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will marijuana be rescheduled??
- Kalshi prijst Before Jan 20, 2029 op 76% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will marijuana be rescheduled? afgewikkeld?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will marijuana be rescheduled? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.