Will the Clarity Act become law?
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KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdMiddenprijs van geselecteerd orderboek
Before Oct 1, 2027 · —
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Opgeslagen prijs
Before Oct 1, 2027 17.5%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Before Oct 1, 2027 17.5%Marktkwaliteit
≤74 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 3,1K
Open interest
US$ 3,3 mln.
Hoge open interestBied / Laat
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Before Oct 1, 2027Spread
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 25 minuten geleden
4 dec 25, 01:00 UTC1 jan 27, 15:00 UTC
Grafiek en wijzigingen tonen opgeslagen historische kansen, niet het geselecteerde actuele orderboek.
Trends
Geselecteerde rij: middenprijs van het orderboek. Andere rijen: opgeslagen, mogelijk genormaliseerde referenties; wijzigingen over 24 uur gebruiken opgeslagen historie.
Before Sep 1, 2026Verloren
Voor sluiting: 1% ·
Before Oct 1, 2026Verloren
Voor sluiting: 1% ·
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Marktdiepte · Before Oct 1, 2027
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) become law by December 31 2026?
ForecastExClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiCLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Library of Congress
- For purposes of this Contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following: Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications. The following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts); Bills that pass only one chamber of Congress; Bills that are vetoed and not overridden; State legislation of any kind Examples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion: The Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, if passed by both chambers and signed into law; The Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), if passed by both chambers and signed into law; Any omnibus bill that includes comprehensive crypto market structure provisions as described above. Examples that would NOT meet the Payout Criterion: The GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation); The Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific); A bill that passes the House but not the Senate; An executive order directing agencies to study crypto regulation.
Regels per uitkomst
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.