Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

One-OffCrypto Regelgeving Commodities Stablecoin Politiek1mnd

KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerd

Huidige impliciete kans

Before Sep 1, 2026 4%

Koploper van 12 uitkomsten

Marktkwaliteit

73 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit

24u volume

€ 34K

Liquiditeit

€ 1,3 mln.

Hoge liquiditeit

Bied / Laat

3.0% / 4.0%

Spread

33.3%

Brede spread

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 19 minuten geleden

13 jul 26, 16:001 sep 26, 14:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

Before Sep 1, 20264%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this Contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following:
Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.
The following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts); Bills that pass only one chamber of Congress; Bills that are vetoed and not overridden; State legislation of any kind
Examples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:

Grote trades

$3.0k99.6%

KALSHIBefore Aug 1, 2026 — Noeergisteren

$1.2k79.0%

KALSHIBefore Oct 1, 2026 — No3 dgn geleden

$1.6k78.0%

KALSHIBefore Oct 1, 2026 — No3 dgn geleden

$5.2k98.0%

KALSHIBefore Aug 1, 2026 — No3 dgn geleden

$1.0k50.0%

KALSHIBefore Nov 1, 2026 — Yes4 dgn geleden

$2.3k92.0%

KALSHIBefore Sep 1, 2026 — No5 dgn geleden

$1.2k65.0%

KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — No12 dgn geleden

$3.1k63.0%

KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — No16 dgn geleden

Volumetrend

$38.7k

2 jul25d aan data26 jul

Gerelateerde Markten

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?

€ 635,1

2027: 34%

POLYMARKET

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

€ 475,9

S&P 500: 64%

POLYMARKET

SOL vs Silver: Which hits $150 first?

€ 19,5

SOL: 41.8%

MYRIAD

SOL vs Silver: Which hits $150 first?

€ 18,8

SOL: 42.1%

MYRIAD

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?

€ 46,6

Aristotle: 100%

POLYMARKET

UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes

€ 0

Cancellation: 15%

KALSHI

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$64,420.95+0.67%

EthereumETH$1,884.69+1.51%

SolanaSOL$75.04+1.60%

XRPXRP$1.10+1.25%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0739+6.44%

BNBBNB$572.08+1.35%

Gerelateerd Nieuws

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Augustus Raises $180 Million to Build a Stablecoin-Ready 'Global Dollar Bank'Decrypt

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

Russia passes landmark crypto bill allowing regulated retail tradingThe Block

Augustus Raises $180M at $1B Valuation to Build a Global Dollar Bank as Stablecoin Issuers Watch CloselyBlockchain Reporter

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Regels

If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this Contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following:
Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.
The following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts); Bills that pass only one chamber of Congress; Bills that are vetoed and not overridden; State legislation of any kind
Examples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion: