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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd1 aug 26, 16:23 UTC1 mrt 30, 22:59 UTC
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Will we get AGI before 2030?
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PolymarketRegels
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.
- Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can.
- It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.
- Resolves as YES if such a system is created and publicly announced before January 1st 2030
- MOD EDIT (Nov 2, 2025 - @Stralor)
- This market uses In what specific year will we hit AGI? as its baseline.
Open markten
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-0.8pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 231K
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,+0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhere will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- No meeting before 2027+0.5pt91.2%
- Qatar / UAE+0.3pt2%
- Switzerland-0.3pt2%
+11 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Totaal volume
- € 576,8K
- 24u volume
- € 56,9K
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339+0.5pt37.1%
- 340–354-2.0pt24.7%
- 310–324-2.6pt19.6%
POLYMARKETWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- China-1.0pt54.9%
- No meeting by December 31-2.0pt33.3%
- Gulf country+1.4pt3.9%
+12 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will we get AGI before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 51% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will we get AGI before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will we get AGI before 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 1 maart 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will we get AGI before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.