PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
December 31 71%-1.0pt
Marktkwaliteit
64 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 791,2
Liquiditeit
€ 30,9K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
18.0% / 20.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
4
7d wijziging
-1.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
21 mei 26, 17:42 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Chasiv Yar, Donetsk Oblast, (48.589446° N, 37.831430° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Chasiv Yar will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
Open markten
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- New People (NL)-0.8pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
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- 24u volume
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- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,+0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
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- No meeting before 2027+0.5pt91.2%
- Qatar / UAE+0.3pt2%
- Switzerland-0.3pt2%
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- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
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- 325–339+0.5pt37.1%
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- China-1.0pt54.9%
- No meeting by December 31-2.0pt33.3%
- Gulf country+1.4pt3.9%
+12 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by which date??
- Polymarket prijst December 31 op 71% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Chasiv Yar, Donetsk Oblast, (48.589446° N, 37.831430° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).