Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?”
Trade PolicyOne-OffPolitiekUS PoliticsVerkiezing21dManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 99%
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15
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 53 minuten geleden
Vertraagd10 jul 26, 05:48 UTC30 sep 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between July 10, 2026, and September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time (ET), President Donald J. Trump or the White House officially announces a new policy, executive action, presidential memorandum, proclamation, or legislative proposal concerning U.S. tariffs or immigration.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Definition of "New": The announcement must introduce a policy, tariff rate, target category, border enforcement directive, or visa rule that is distinct from policies officially active or announced prior to July 10, 2026.
- Expanding, replacing, or substantively modifying an existing program counts as a new policy; merely executing or re-stating an established schedule from a prior order does not.
- Definition of "Announce": The policy must be officially communicated directly by President Trump (e.g., via his official Truth Social account, a live public address, or an official press conference) or formally issued via the White House Briefing Room or the Federal Register.
Open markten
Trade Policy
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt55.2%
- October 31+7.0pt32%
- September 30+2.0pt12.8%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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- Yes+18.0pt93%
- No7%
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- € 6,1K
- 24u volume
- € 4,3K
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- € 1,4 mln.
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- September 30-14.0pt9%
- September 15-0.1pt1%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?”?
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 99% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?” afgewikkeld?
- Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?” wordt naar verwachting op 30 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?” afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria