Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 85%
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd13 aug 25, 01:25 UTC4 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump cut corporate taxes this year?
KalshiWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
PolymarketWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria obvious, if he does it YES (and we definitely will hear about it), if midterms come and no rebate specifically sourced according to him from the tariffs resolves NO.
- I will not trade in any of my markets going forward.
Open markten
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt55.2%
- October 31+7.0pt32%
- September 30+2.0pt12.8%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 113,6K
- 24u volume
- € 9,4K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+0.5pt13%
- September 30-0.5pt6%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes+18.0pt93%
- No7%
- Totaal volume
- € 6,1K
- 24u volume
- € 4,3K
KALSHIWhat will Karoline Leavitt say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Trump (3+ times)91%
- Republican80%
- Inflation59%
+15 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1K
- 24u volume
- € 1,1K
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition+1.0pt83.3%
- $10 billion to $99 billion4.9%
- $300 billion to $599 billion3.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,4 mln.
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 31+2.0pt56%
- September 30-14.0pt9%
- September 15-0.1pt1%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
Gerelateerde crypto's
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Trump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 85% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Trump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms? afgewikkeld?
- Trump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms? wordt naar verwachting op 4 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Trump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria obvious, if he does it YES (and we definitely will hear about it), if midterms come and no rebate specifically sourced according to him from the tariffs resolves NO.