KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before Nov 1, 2026 71%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
34 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 171,2
Liquiditeit
€ 2,2K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
10.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 minuten geleden
11 aug 26, 0:481 okt 26, 3:59
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Regels
If the United States and China reach a new mutual tariff agreement, publicly announced or confirmed by both governments after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- An extension, modification, or replacement of the tariff truce in effect at Issuance qualifies as a new mutual tariff agreement.
- A qualifying agreement must address tariff rates or tariff suspensions; agreements limited to other trade matters do not count.
- Unilateral tariff actions do not count, even if the other side declines to respond.
- Reports that negotiations are ongoing, near completion, or agreed in principle by only one side do not count.
- An agreement qualifies once reached and confirmed by both governments, regardless of when it takes effect.
Open markten
Trade Policy
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- October 31-5.5pt33%
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+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 30,6K
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- AI / Artificial Intelligence86%
- Luxury80%
+13 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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- Yes+13.5pt69.3%
- No-13.5pt30.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 5,8K
- 24u volume
- € 1,2K
POLYMARKETWhich countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
- Canada-1.0pt20%
- India18%
- Israel17%
+14 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Yes+0.1pt92%
- No-0.1pt8%
- Totaal volume
- € 191,2K
- 24u volume
- € 1,1K
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- $0 / No Acquisition-1.0pt86.6%
- $600 billion to $899 billion-1.2pt3.1%
- $1 billion to $9 billion3.1%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement??
- Kalshi prijst Before Nov 1, 2026 op 71% per 21 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement? afgewikkeld?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement? wordt naar verwachting op 1 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the United States and China reach a new mutual tariff agreement, publicly announced or confirmed by both governments after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.