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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?

Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?

1.0% (24u)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsLatin America6mnd
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 60%-1.0%
Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

28 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 4,9

Liquiditeit

€ 366,6

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

57.0% / 62.0%

Spread

8.8%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden

17 mrt 26, 14:001 jan 27, 4:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
Before May 1, 2026
Before May 1, 2026
0%

Gekozen uitkomst

Before Jan 1, 202760%

Regels

If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
  • Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement.
  • A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient.
  • If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.
  • If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
  • Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement.
  • A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient.
  • If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.
  • If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.