Will the Trade deficit of the US be 10% lower at the end of Trump’s 2nd term

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the Trade deficit of the US be 10% lower at the end of Trump’s 2nd term?

Manifold Markets prijst No op 75% per 26 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Will the Trade deficit of the US be 10% lower at the end of Trump’s 2nd term afgewikkeld?

Will the Trade deficit of the US be 10% lower at the end of Trump’s 2nd term wordt naar verwachting op 5 november 2028 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt Will the Trade deficit of the US be 10% lower at the end of Trump’s 2nd term afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Source: FRED

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change-1.0pt94.1%
• 25 bps increase+1.0pt5.9%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 59,6 mln.

24u volume

€ 3,7 mln.

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike-0.5pt74.3%
• Hike–Pause–Pause-0.5pt20.8%
• Hike–Hike–Hike-0.5pt2%

+6 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes76.2%
• No23.8%

Totaal volume

€ 950,1K

24u volume

€ 8,5K

POLYMARKET

US economic state at the end of 2026?

• Overheating+4.6pt98%
• Soft Landing-3.4pt2%
• Slack-0.6pt0%

+1 extra uitkomsten

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above -0.1%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 0.0%98.5%
• Above 0.1%89.5%

POLYMARKET

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

• 5.3%+4.0pt44%
• 5.4%+1.0pt23%
• 5.5%-1.1pt13%

+11 extra uitkomsten

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