PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
800–900B 34.7%Koploper van 8 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 4,3K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
0.3 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
26 feb 26, 00:27 UTC28 feb 27, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
US trade deficit for 2026?
KalshiUS trade deficit for 2031
KalshiUS trade deficit for 2029
KalshiWill the Trade deficit of the US be 10% lower at the end of Trump’s 2nd term
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
PolymarketEU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
- Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
- The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”.
- Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau.
Open markten
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt55.2%
- October 31+7.0pt32%
- September 30+2.0pt12.8%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 113,6K
- 24u volume
- € 9,4K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+0.5pt13%
- September 30-0.5pt6%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes+18.0pt93%
- No7%
- Totaal volume
- € 6,1K
- 24u volume
- € 4,3K
KALSHIWhat will Karoline Leavitt say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Trump (3+ times)91%
- Republican80%
- Inflation59%
+15 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1K
- 24u volume
- € 1,1K
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition+1.0pt83.3%
- $10 billion to $99 billion4.9%
- $300 billion to $599 billion3.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,4 mln.
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 31+2.0pt56%
- September 30-14.0pt9%
- September 15-0.1pt1%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US Trade Deficit in 2026??
- Polymarket prijst 800–900B op 35% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt US Trade Deficit in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- US Trade Deficit in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 28 februari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt US Trade Deficit in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.