Will the CPI (less food and energy) be above 373.03 on Sept 2027?
FedDailyInflatieCentrale banken11mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 64.2%
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd11 nov 24, 04:03 UTC10 okt 27, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
FAO Food Price Index for October
KalshiDEBATE: Should France cap the prices of essential goods (food, fuel) to fight the cost of living? Argue in the comments!
Manifold MarketsWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2028?
Manifold Markets2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC)
Manifold MarketsWill US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2027
Manifold MarketsRegels
Based on the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis's "Core Consumer Price Index" (which excludes food and energy prices for all urban consumers), core inflation averaged 5.16% annually from January 2021 to January 2024.
- If this same rate continues, projecting from September 2024's CPI value of 320.767, the expected Core CPI in September 2027 would reach approximately 373.03.
- Will actual core inflation exceed this projection?
- This market will settle as YES If the CPI value published by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis for 2027-09-01 is greater than 373.03.
- Source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPILFESL
