Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 76.3%
Voorspellers
92
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 20 uur geleden
Verouderd18 aug 23, 12:37 UTC1 jan 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Who replaces Merz as Chancellor if he gets replaced before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?
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Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Will resolve YES if the AfD (Alternative for Germany) enters any federal or state government by the year 2030.
- Extensive polling data here: Neueste Wahlumfragen und Umfragewerte | DAWUM
- Related market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Symmetry/will-the-afd-still-exist-by-the-yea)