Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
10.0 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffChessVerkiezingSport3mnd
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Ja 56%-10.0pt
Marktkwaliteit
55 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 4,1K
Liquiditeit
€ 888
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
53.0% / 59.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadReacties
5
7d wijziging
+27.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
20 aug 26, 18:09 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) is part of the state government (Landesregierung) of any of Germany's 16 federal states at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A party is considered part of a state government if it provides at least one Minister in that state's government, including the Minister-President.
- In the city-states of Berlin, Hamburg and Bremen, a party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor, First Mayor or President of the Senate.
- A state government is considered formed when the state parliament elects the Minister-President (or, in the city-states, the Governing Mayor, First Mayor or President of the Senate) and that government has formally taken office.
- Coalition agreements, ministerial nominations, or announced coalition negotiations will not qualify on their own.
