Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezing3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 55.7%
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Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
7 dec 25, 19:57 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves based on any State Prime Minister (Ministerpräsident) elections in German state parliaments in 2026, whether after scheduled state elections or otherwise (e.g., a state PM resigning).
- Resolves YES if AfD MPs vote for a winning candidate AND their votes are necessary for the candidate to win.
- Resolves NO if all State Prime Ministers elected in 2026 are elected without necessary AfD support.
- Scheduled 2026 state elections:
- Baden-Württemberg (8 March)
- Rhineland-Palatinate (22 March)
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 56% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support? afgewikkeld?
- Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves based on any State Prime Minister (Ministerpräsident) elections in German state parliaments in 2026, whether after scheduled state elections or otherwise (e.g., a state PM resigning).