Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingMagdalena Andersson (S) 72%-3.0ptKoploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
14
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-2.9 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd23 sep 25, 07:11 UTC30 jan 27, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Ulf Kristersson remain Swedish Prime Minister throughout the 2022-2026 term (until the next general election)?
Manifold MarketsWill any German State Prime Minister after a 2026 election be elected with AfD support?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Swedish prime minister?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected New Zealand Prime Minister in the next election?
Manifold MarketsNew Zealand Prime Minister after the election?
KalshiWho will be Latvia’s Prime Minister after the election?
KalshiRegels
Requires a successful investiture vote.
- Fresh elections without a successful investiture resolves N/A. If the government collapses soon after forming and another person becomes PM, it’s still the first to successfully become PM post-election that counts.
- Elections are in September 2026.
- Resolution is expected within about a month, or at least within the year, but can potentially drag on.
- For example, government formation after the 2018 elections took a record 134 days.
