Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingMagdalena Andersson (S) 80.4%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd23 sep 25, 07:11 UTC30 jan 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Ulf Kristersson remain Swedish Prime Minister throughout the 2022-2026 term (until the next general election)?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Swedish prime minister?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected New Zealand Prime Minister in the next election?
Manifold MarketsIsrael’s next prime minister after the 2026 election
FutuurPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketRegels
Requires a successful investiture vote.
- Fresh elections without a successful investiture resolves N/A. If the government collapses soon after forming and another person becomes PM, it’s still the first to successfully become PM post-election that counts.
- Elections are in September 2026.
- Resolution is expected within about a month, or at least within the year, but can potentially drag on.
- For example, government formation after the 2018 elections took a record 134 days.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 697,7K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who becomes Swedish Prime Minister after 2026 election??
- Manifold Markets prijst Magdalena Andersson (S) op 80% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who becomes Swedish Prime Minister after 2026 election? afgewikkeld?
- Who becomes Swedish Prime Minister after 2026 election? wordt naar verwachting op 30 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who becomes Swedish Prime Minister after 2026 election? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Requires a successful investiture vote.