KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
AfD 77%Koploper van 7 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
57 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 49,3
Liquiditeit
€ 18,5K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
2.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
28 jul 26, 16:23 UTC25 mrt 30, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Who will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
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PolymarketNext Canadian federal election winner?
KalshiWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiRegels
If AfD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Bundeswahlausschuss
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. For purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.
Open markten
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- Jon Ossoff17%
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- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Next German federal election winner??
- Kalshi prijst AfD op 77% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Next German federal election winner? afgewikkeld?
- Next German federal election winner? wordt naar verwachting op 25 maart 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Next German federal election winner? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If AfD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.