Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 66.3%
Voorspellers
47
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd7 jan 26, 16:06 UTC16 sep 26, 18:00 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
Resolves Yes if Polymarket correctly gusses every fed decision this year. e.g. No Change, 25 BPS cut etc....
- I will consider Polymarket to have guessed correctly if the correct outcome is the most likely Polymarket answer 24 hours before the decision is made.
- Resolves on Dec. 9th after the last fed meeting.
- Reference Market: https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-january?tid=1767801675891
Open markten
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.1%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 34,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,6 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt49.5%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt43.5%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 543,8K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt2%
+10 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.8pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.9pt91%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.6pt8%
- Exactly 2 cuts1%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 7,6 mln.
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Gerelateerde crypto's
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 66% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 16 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves Yes if Polymarket correctly gusses every fed decision this year. e.g. No Change, 25 BPS cut etc....