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Ja 65%
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5
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd28 sep 24, 22:16 UTC2 jan 01, 02:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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KalshiUS share of global GDP in 2026
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiRegels
This question is an exploration of the "growth explosion" hypothesis that would come as a result of AI.
- Specifically its effect on the labor part of a labor-capital-technology model of an economy.
- introduction to the idea:
- https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/24108787/ai-economic-growth-explosive-automation
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XVyurFOgUjM
Open markten
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.3%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 247,7K
- 24u volume
- € 79,4K
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-4.0pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 3,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 18,6K
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%+1.0pt99%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 131,3K
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+2.0pt89.1%
- Yes-2.0pt10.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 13,1K
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,1K
- 24u volume
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No72%
- Yes+4.0pt28%
- Totaal volume
- € 379,1K
- 24u volume
- € 9,3K
- CPI core in October
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI core in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
- September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
- CPI in November
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- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This question is an exploration of the "growth explosion" hypothesis that would come as a result of AI.