KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Above 25.1% 98%Koploper van 11 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 8,6K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden
27 jul 26, 14:00 UTC1 jul 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
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Manifold MarketsUSD share of global FX reserves in Q2 2026
KalshiInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiCPI in September
KalshiRegels
If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:World Bank
- The Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.
- The Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP
- “United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.
- Both inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.3%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 247,7K
- 24u volume
- € 79,4K
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-4.0pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 3,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 18,6K
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%+1.0pt99%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 131,3K
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+2.0pt89.1%
- Yes-2.0pt10.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 13,1K
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,1K
- 24u volume
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No72%
- Yes+4.0pt28%
- Totaal volume
- € 379,1K
- 24u volume
- € 9,3K
- CPI core in October
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI core in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
- September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
- CPI in November
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US share of global GDP in 2026?
- Kalshi prijst Above 25.1% op 98% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt US share of global GDP in 2026 afgewikkeld?
- US share of global GDP in 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 1 juli 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt US share of global GDP in 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.