Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026?
EconomieOne-OffMacro & Economy3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 93%
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Verouderd29 apr 25, 07:25 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q4 2026?
KalshiRegels
Will resolve with: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/250228/dq250228a-eng.htm?HPA=1&indid=3278-1&indgeo=0
- Includes Q4 2026, so may need to resolve a bit later if the data isn't out yet.
Open markten
Economy
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- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
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- € 89,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,3 mln.
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- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 323,8K
- 24u volume
- € 25,3K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
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+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 523K
- 24u volume
- € 22K
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Totaal volume
- € 611,8K
- 24u volume
- € 12,8K
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,5K
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- € 10,5K
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- No94%
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- € 7,7K
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- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 93% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Will resolve with: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/250228/dq250228a-eng.htm?HPA=1&indid=3278-1&indgeo=0