Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 76.1%
Voorspellers
10
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd9 dec 23, 23:45 UTC1 mrt 28, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Mexico have a larger GDP than Brazil in 2028?
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Manifold MarketsAustralia unemployment rate in August
KalshiAustralia Nominal GDP in 2026
KalshiFed Decision in September?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves as YES if Australia has a larger GDP than Canada in the year from January 1st 2027 -> December 31st 2027
Open markten
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 89,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 541,2K
- 24u volume
- € 30,7K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 334,2K
- 24u volume
- € 12,8K
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,7K
- 24u volume
- € 10,7K
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Totaal volume
- € 612,5K
- 24u volume
- € 6,9K
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,3K
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Australia have a larger GDP than Canada in 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 76% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Australia have a larger GDP than Canada in 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will Australia have a larger GDP than Canada in 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 maart 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Australia have a larger GDP than Canada in 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves as YES if Australia has a larger GDP than Canada in the year from January 1st 2027 -> December 31st 2027